StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)

4.4 1630 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5.1
+21.53%
Last month
$ 12.73
+79.27%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 25.71
-4.03%
In a quarter
$ 33.41
+24.71%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
83% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
126 offers on 9 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
26 offers
from $ 28.79
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 29.3
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
23 offers
from $ 29.64
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
22 offers
from $ 30.76
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
13 offers
from $ 30.84
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 32.01
Skinport
Skinport
17 offers
from $ 35.13
Steam
Steam
18 offers
from $ 43.26
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 49.05
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 28.79
  • 24h price change: 7.47%
  • 7 days low: $ 23.69
  • 7 days high: $ 97.77
  • 7 days price change: 21.53%
  • 30 days low: $ 16.06
  • 30 days high: $ 149
  • 30 days price change: 79.27%
  • 90 days low: $ 16.06
  • 90 days high: $ 149
  • Year low: $ 16.06
  • Year high: $ 6 016
  • All time low: $ 16.06
  • All time high: $ 6 016
  • All time max offers: 171
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 17
  • Sales for last 7 days: 119
  • Sales for last 30 days: 509
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1099
  • All time sales: 3161
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3314
  • Volatility: 12.93%
  • Liquidity: 32.92%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 25.71
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 33.41
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 24.71%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 22.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.69
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.68
21.58%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 26.26
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.49
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 28.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.95
16.13%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 22.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.24
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 21.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 21.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 21.73
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 22.39
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.38
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 25.35
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 27.25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 21.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.69
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.68
21.58%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 26.26
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.49
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 28.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.95
16.13%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.63
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 46.18
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
83%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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From last month
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From last month
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From last month
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4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) is a sure option for Counter-Terrorists who need better accuracy, with some loss in damage compared to the AK-47. The custom paint job features a dark blue base with vibrant red spider lilies adorning the magazine and trigger, serving as a visual warning rather than an inviting display.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) entered the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on September 21st, 2021, when the Operation Riptide Case was released along with the "Operation Riptide" update. This beautiful skin was designed by the very talented community designer Strenson and immediately became one of the hottest items among players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily is a rare skin that one can get by opening an Operation Riptide Case container with various exclusive skins of weapons. This particular skin comes under the category of one of the most unique and in-demand skin collections that dropped in the event of Operation Riptide in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The CS2 community highly covets the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear), with a popularity rating of 95%. A proof of its desirability is that it sees quite a high volume of sales every day and comes at a premium price in the market, making it one of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin has a Restricted rarity classification, which makes it quite rare; the estimated drop chance is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) is a pretty cheap skin, as its price ranges from $0.96 to $39.64. Currently, it is in abundant supply and can be found on many markets, which makes it very easy for CS2 players to get it. In fact, there are currently 684K units of the Spider Lily skin in public CS2 inventories, further highlighting its popularity and availability.

Versions

Versions

Float value for StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily Minimal Wear in CS2 is in a range from 0.00 to 1.00, which allows this skin to be in all kinds of exteriors. Thus, it also provides StatTrak variant for every exterior. This gives the player the ability to track their kills with both precision and style, regardless of the condition of their weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is highly positive, as reflected in its high rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, with over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, this skin being owned by the famous professional player s1mple further increases its desirability and popularity among the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily skin is a "Gunsmith" style with a mix of patina and custom paint techniques, creating an impressive look. This skin has an appealing red and blue color scheme; pattern indexes do not affect the spectacular Spider Lily finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 25.71 (-4.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 33.41 (24.71%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players