StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn)

4.4 1768 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.88
+33.53%
Last month
$ 3.98
+53.14%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.87
-30.54%
In a quarter
$ 10.62
-6.27%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
512 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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128 offers
from $ 11.47
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
66 offers
from $ 12.21
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
67 offers
from $ 12.51
White.Market
White.Market
77 offers
from $ 12.51
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
91 offers
from $ 13.25
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
69 offers
from $ 13.3
Steam
Steam
11 offers
from $ 15.92
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 17.7
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.47
  • 24h price change: 1.24%
  • 7 days low: $ 8.59
  • 7 days high: $ 25.43
  • 7 days price change: 33.53%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.49
  • 30 days high: $ 79.38
  • 30 days price change: 53.14%
  • 90 days low: $ 6.53
  • 90 days high: $ 79.38
  • Year low: $ 4.62
  • Year high: $ 1 511
  • All time low: $ 4.62
  • All time high: $ 1 511
  • All time max offers: 822
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 234
  • Sales for last 30 days: 810
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1894
  • All time sales: 5196
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: -0.89
  • Volatility: 12.6%
  • Liquidity: 25.55%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.87
  • Price forecast change in a month: -30.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 10.62
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.27%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.47
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.9
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.01
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 9.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.99
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.65
Action
✋ Hold
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 14.95
Action
📉 Sell
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 7.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.44
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.08
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.47
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.35
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.9
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.22
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.01
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 7.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 9.02
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 9.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.99
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.1
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 9.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 9.65
Action
✋ Hold
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 9.98
Action
✋ Hold
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 14.95
Action
📉 Sell
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The well-worn StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily will be a sure bet for Counter-Terrorists, featuring accuracy and a high rate of fire. Its custom dark blue base, complemented by vibrant red spider lilies, serves as a visual reminder to enemies that danger awaits them.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) entered the community of CS2 for the first time on September 21st, 2021. It came along with the Operation Riptide Case and was inducted together with the accompanying "Operation Riptide" update. The captured skin added a flower factor to beauty in battle-a brainchild of a talented community designer named Strenson.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) was presented to the CS2 community as a possible drop from the Operation Riptide Case, a container that opens to reveal various weapon skins. This particular skin belongs to the Operation Riptide Collection and offers a unique, battle-worn aesthetic to those lucky enough to acquire it.

Popularity

Popularity

The Spider Lily StatTrak M4A4-Well-Worn has gained an incredible popularity rating of 95%, making it one of the hottest items in CS2. Its high level of popularity is determined by its exceptional daily sales volume and the premium price it commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) is one of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2. This skin has a Restricted rarity, which makes it quite rare. The estimated drop chance of this skin is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the CS2 skin StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) is pretty low and ranges between $0.96 and $39.64. Currently, it is available on many markets, which means there will not be difficulties in buying this skin for players. Moreover, now there are 684K units of the Spider Lily skin in public CS2 inventories, which explains its popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value for M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) in CS2 is from 0.38 to 0.45, so it looks rather worn but still very expressive. Also, each of these skins has a StatTrak version, enabling the owner to see how many kills he has made using this charismatic skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

So far, within CS2, there is an enormous positive response towards the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn); therefore, it receives such a great average rating, which was 4.4/5 after over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. Apart from that, the fact itself that this skin belongs to a professional player in CS2-a guy with the nickname s1mple-already brings a few points to its prestige and popularity within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn StatTrak M4A4 features a custom "Gunsmith" finish, displaying a Spider Lily pattern. A mix of patina with custom paint styles creates an appealing blend of red and blue hues, yielding a color scheme that is sure to catch eyes. The Spider Lily finish has the same appearance regardless of the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 7.87 (-30.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 10.62 (-6.27%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players