StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)

4.5 2630 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.18
+9.68%
Last month
$ 7.57
+44.17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 18.48
-25.96%
In a quarter
$ 37.07
+48.52%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
306 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy inspecting M4A4 | Tooth Fairy reloading M4A4 | Tooth Fairy holding M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-1 M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-2 M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 24.71
  • 24h price change: 4.53%
  • 7 days low: $ 22.53
  • 7 days high: $ 70 000
  • 7 days price change: 9.68%
  • 30 days low: $ 17.14
  • 30 days high: $ 70 000
  • 30 days price change: 44.17%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.57
  • 90 days high: $ 70 000
  • Year low: $ 13.7
  • Year high: $ 70 000
  • All time low: $ 13.7
  • All time high: $ 70 000
  • All time max offers: 459
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 23
  • Sales for last 7 days: 172
  • Sales for last 30 days: 595
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1537
  • All time sales: 4321
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.98
  • Volatility: 14.22%
  • Liquidity: 26.62%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 18.48
  • Price forecast change in a month: -25.96%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 37.07
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 48.52%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 18.95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 29.26
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 24.73
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.73
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 27.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.41
9.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 31.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 23.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.55
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 18.95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.15
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.57
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 17.12
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.64
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.48
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.68
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 23.83
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 24.41
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 29.26
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 24.73
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.73
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 27.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.41
9.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 31.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 23.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.55
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 24.07
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.41
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 48.28
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy Factory New is a very precise assault rifle and a favorite of Counter-Terrorists. It outperforms the AK-47 in terms of accuracy. Custom paint job, chilling-a haunting Tooth Fairy with an unreal collection of incisors and molars. A reminder: one's teeth are not the only ones that are at stake.

History

History

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy was first shown to the CS2 community on August 6th, 2020, and was part of the Fracture Case. This creation by the very talented community artist 2Minds quickly became one of the most desired skins in Factory New condition among players, due to its beautiful engravings of teeth combined with a vibrant color scheme that added much-needed whimsy to the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) was added to CS2 with the rare skin available by opening a container from the Fracture Case. It is the only skin in The Fracture Collection and falls in the category of Rare. It has an interesting design, a fairy tooth that managed to put a smile on everybody's face on the battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

The Factory New version of the StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is one of the hottest items in demand with its high popularity rating of 99%. The rarity of this skin, along with aesthetic appeal, has created one of the most popular skins among collectors and players within the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. The skin has a Classified rarity, which makes this skin extremely rare; the estimated drop chance is just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy skin is pretty cheap, having a price range from $2.45 to $17.21, and can be easily found on different markets because the float value of this version is highly spread in CS2 inventories-approximately 650.9K units.

Versions

Versions

The float value of this particular skin, the StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New), ranges between 0.00 and 0.73, hence all the exterior variants for this CS2 are obtainable. Every outward variant has a StatTrak version, which can record kills with this awesome skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, coming in at an average of 4.5 / 5-star rating, with over 2.5K votes on addskins.gg. It finds itself in the hands of some of the well-known professional players, including snax, dupreeh, and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) has a unique "Custom Paint Job" style that allows a great variety of customizations in bright-colored paint. This skin's dominant color is an appealing red tint, and the pattern indexes do nothing to change this dazzling Tooth Fairy finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 18.48 (-25.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 37.07 (48.52%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.73
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.