M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn)

4.4 8558 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.23
+6.12%
Last month
$ 0.23
+6.12%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.2
+5.53%
In a quarter
$ 4.05
+1.76%
In half a year
$ 4.13
+3.77%
In a year
$ 4.03
+1.26%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
31% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
67 offers on 9 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Faded Zebra inspecting M4A4 | Faded Zebra reloading M4A4 | Faded Zebra holding M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-1 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-2 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.99
  • 24h price change: 0.2513%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.76
  • 7 days high: $ 510
  • 7 days price change: 6.12%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.76
  • 30 days high: $ 510
  • 30 days price change: 6.12%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.59
  • 90 days high: $ 510
  • Year low: $ 3.48
  • Year high: $ 2 024
  • All time low: $ 2.01
  • All time high: $ 2 024
  • All time max offers: 156
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 9
  • Sales for last 7 days: 36
  • Sales for last 30 days: 134
  • Sales for last 90 days: 270
  • All time sales: 703
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.00878417
  • Volatility: 21.72%
  • Liquidity: 9.27%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.2
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.53%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.05
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.76%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.13
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.77%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 4.03
  • Price forecast change in a year: 1.26%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.44
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.55
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
2.48%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.55
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.405
-8.90%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.5
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.05
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4
Action
❌ Avoid
October 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.13
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.44
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 4.29
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.55
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.11
2.48%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.55
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.405
-8.90%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.5
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.3
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.05
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.23
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4
Action
❌ Avoid
October 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.17
Action
❌ Avoid
October 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 17, 2025
Price
$ 4.39
Action
❌ Avoid
October 25, 2025
Price
$ 4.13
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.295
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.99
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
31%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) is a safe choice for Counter-Terrorists with better accuracy at the expense of lesser damage than that of the AK-47. The uniqueness in its appearance covers it with time-faded, spray-painted zebra stripe pattern.

History

History

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra first emerged into the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on August 14th, 2013, when it was announced as part of the new set of skins for weapons accompanying "The Arms Deal" update. Encased within the eSports 2013 Case, this well-worn variant of the M4A4 showcases an extremely faded zebra pattern that became one of the most highly-desired and iconic skins among players over the last 9 years.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Faded Zebra has a Battle-Scarred finish and can be obtained by opening an eSports 2013 Case container or buying it from the market. This skin retains all the grit and tenacity of seasoned competitors. A part of the eSports 2013 Collection, the skin proudly represents professional player legacies and commitment to the world of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) keeps being one of the most demanded CS2 skins, which has reached the mark of 85% popularity among the community. In this regard, the skin is included in the top 15% most popular skins in the game, judged by its in-game sales frequency and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra is among the 255 other Rifle skins in CS2. Its Grade is Mil-Spec Grade, and its drop is rather common. The drop chance is estimated to be 79.92%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of M4A4 | Faded Zebra(Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges between 0.06 and 0.80, which means a player might have gotten this skin in various wear conditions. Besides, each wear condition is available with a StatTrak version in the skin Faded Zebra.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) has rather good community feedback: this skin has more than 8.4K votes on addsins.com, and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. This is one of the most popular skins among professional players of CS2; neo, n0thing, and xizt have this skin in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

Well-worn M4A4 | Faded Zebra Wear: The pattern of this stencil sprayed on paint contains various coats of paint. The actual color scheme that has come up is gray, contributing to the worn-out, weathered look; the pattern index determines the overall look of the finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 4.2 (5.53%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.05 (1.76%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4.13 (3.77%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 4.03 (1.26%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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