M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)

4.5 6849 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 108
+15.21%
Last month
$ 443
+118%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 777
-0.97%
In a quarter
$ 571
-27.23%
In half a year
$ 565
-27.99%
In a year
$ 1 332
+69.76%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
70% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
295 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Hellfire inspecting M4A4 | Hellfire reloading M4A4 | Hellfire holding M4A4 | Hellfire pose-1 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-2 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 818
  • 24h price change: 7.77%
  • 7 days low: $ 710
  • 7 days high: $ 2 296
  • 7 days price change: 15.21%
  • 30 days low: $ 375
  • 30 days high: $ 13 716
  • 30 days price change: 118%
  • 90 days low: $ 10.13
  • 90 days high: $ 13 716
  • Year low: $ 10.13
  • Year high: $ 65 117
  • All time low: $ 10.13
  • All time high: $ 65 117
  • All time max offers: 451
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 69
  • Sales for last 30 days: 427
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1301
  • All time sales: 3028
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3573
  • Volatility: 23.38%
  • Liquidity: 8.48%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 777
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.97%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 571
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -27.23%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 565
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -27.99%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 332
  • Price forecast change in a year: 69.76%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 110
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 136
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 140
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 140
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 270
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 130
92.77%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 499
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 499
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 516
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 17.03
3.41%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 598
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 598
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 804
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 206
34.38%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 136
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 140
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 140
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 140
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 270
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 130
92.77%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 447
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 639
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 499
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 499
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 516
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 17.03
3.41%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 911
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 598
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 598
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 804
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 206
34.38%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 353
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 238
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Hellfire Factory New is a reliable full-auto assault rifle used consistently by many Counter-Terrorists. This weapon class sacrifices accuracy in favor of better damage capability. The skin gives it a very intimidating and tempting look because of its devil-like creature with a striking design against the backdrop of raging fire and chains. Small brim pebbles add more to the uniqueness of the appearance.

History

History

M4A4 | Hellfire-The fiery entrance into the CS2 world occurred on May 23rd, 2017. This was along with the release of the Operation Hydra Case, coming simultaneously with the "Operation Hydra" update. This beautiful skin was designed into existence by a talented community designer called "SHPR" with infernal aesthetics and with a touch of hellish allure.

Origin

Origin

This skin is namely the M4A4 | Hellfire and can be obtained through the acquiring and opening of a container named Operation Hydra Case, which contains a wide range of exclusive in-game weapon finishes. This skin also forms part of the Operation Hydra Collection, which includes a selected list of unique weapon skins only available during the event of Operation Hydra.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A4 | Hellfire is one of the most popular CS2 skins according to the 95% popularity rating. The high rating of this item depends on its design, condition quality, and values that are important for collectors and players. Since this skin was offered to users, it has a really high sales volume. Accordingly, because of its premium price, it is not only one of the most used items in this game but also one of the most wanted among players and collectors.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Hellfire is part of a pool of 255 other Rifle skins, but it is in the Classified rarity, making it one of the most sought-after drops, estimated only to be received by 3.2%. Getting a Factory New Hellfire has become so rare that it has set it especially great for a CS: GO player to receive it.

Versions

Versions

The float value range of the M4A4 | Hellfire in Factory New condition is 0.00-0.50. So, every variation possible in this condition is achievable with this skin. Furthermore, there is a StatTrak available version of the Hellfire for each exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

It is really well-regarded by the overall community for M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) in CS2. On addskins.gg, it has 4.5 out of 5 stars after more than 6.8K votes. This is further confirmed because very famous professional players like fallen, shox, and maniac own it.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A4 | Hellfire features a very special "Custom Paint Job" finish that could give room for numerous custom designs in a wide array of colors. The dominant color of this skin is a bright red tint, but pattern variations do not change the enthralling Hellfire effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 777 (-0.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 571 (-27.23%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 565 (-27.99%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 332 (69.76%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players