StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)

4.5 6882 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 83
+34.16%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 233
-29.76%
In a quarter
$ 693
+109.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
130 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Hellfire inspecting M4A4 | Hellfire reloading M4A4 | Hellfire holding M4A4 | Hellfire pose-1 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-2 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 326
  • 7 days low: $ 326
  • 7 days high: $ 1 546
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 243
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 34.16%
  • 90 days low: $ 182
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 117
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 117
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 166
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 13
  • Sales for last 30 days: 48
  • Sales for last 90 days: 141
  • All time sales: 331
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 1.34
  • Volatility: 19.6%
  • Liquidity: 15.56%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 233
  • Price forecast change in a month: -29.76%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 693
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 109.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 177
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 202
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 139
68.98%
Result
👍 Success
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
❌ Avoid
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 455
Action
✋ Hold
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 407
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 407
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 177
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 202
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
🔥 Buy
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 139
68.98%
Result
👍 Success
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
❌ Avoid
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 455
Action
✋ Hold
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 407
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 407
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 437
Action
🔥 Buy
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 486
Action
🔥 Buy
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 323
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 349
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 139
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 609
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is quite reliable for Counter-Terrorists, as it features pretty good accuracy and is fairly damaging. The striking design presents a very delicately hand-painted devil-like creature against the background of rampant fire and menacing chains, which makes the skin look interesting and intimidating to others in-game.

History

History

The highly coveted StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) dropped into the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on May 23rd, 2017, through the Operation Hydra Case, on the same day as the "Operation Hydra" update. This really catches-your-eye skin, crafted by the brilliant community designer "SHPR," gained favor very fast among players for its really detailed fiery design and, as an added bonus, technology from StatTrak that allowed kill tracking.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is, undoubtedly, one of the most exceptional and popular skins in CS2. It has a really wild design that has captivated collectors' attention. It can be opened only by opening a container for Operation Hydra Case, which itself makes this skin highly exclusive. In addition, this skin belongs to the Operation Hydra Collection, which further makes it demanding and prestigious among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is extremely popular among CS2 players, ranking 95% in terms of popularity. Due to its outstanding demand and great popularity, it is a very sought-after skin. This fact finds reflection in its day-to-day sales volume and the high prices it commands usually in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is a skin from 255 Rifle skins existing in CS2. Its rarity is Classified, which means it is highly wanted because only 3.2% of the drop chance can get this extremely rare skin.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) represents a very nice balance between price and quality and can be purchased for $32.76-$160.00. Due to its great popularity, this skin is traded in many markets, making it more accessible to a player and, thus, allowing it to take its place in anyone's inventory. Indeed, right now, there are 65.7K units of the Hellfire in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range of the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire is from 0.00 to 0.50, which makes this skin available in all conditions. Also, for every type of exterior, a StatTrak version is present for Hellfire.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) in CS2 is really good, having a rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars with over 6.8K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is also defended by pro players like fallen, shox, and maniac who have this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) features a "Custom Paint Job" style that allows a wide array of personalized designs, all enhanced by the striking Hellfire finish. The predominant color of this skin is rich red, and the pattern index does not affect the Hellfire finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 233 (-29.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 693 (109.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players