StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear)

4.5 6956 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 14
+7.57%
Last month
$ 61
+44.2%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 120
-42.26%
In a quarter
$ 244
+17.4%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
59 offers on 9 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Hellfire inspecting M4A4 | Hellfire reloading M4A4 | Hellfire holding M4A4 | Hellfire pose-1 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-2 M4A4 | Hellfire pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 199
  • 24h price change: 7.57%
  • 7 days low: $ 185
  • 7 days high: $ 703
  • 7 days price change: 7.57%
  • 30 days low: $ 138
  • 30 days high: $ 1 007
  • 30 days price change: 44.2%
  • 90 days low: $ 112
  • 90 days high: $ 1 007
  • Year low: $ 85.26
  • Year high: $ 18 325
  • All time low: $ 85.26
  • All time high: $ 18 325
  • All time max offers: 77
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 17
  • Sales for last 30 days: 57
  • Sales for last 90 days: 113
  • All time sales: 300
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.05
  • Volatility: 20.51%
  • Liquidity: 17.39%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 120
  • Price forecast change in a month: -42.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 244
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 17.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 114
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 167
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 40.82
24.45%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 119
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 184
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 167
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 40.82
24.45%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 40.82
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 167
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Minimal Wear StatTrak M4A4 Hellfire is a very accurate assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists, having much more precision compared to the AK 47. The design looks unique, featuring a well-painted devil-like creature on the backdrop of burning fire and chains, adding an intimidating touch to the firearm's appearance. Moreover, the inclusions of brim pebbles enhance its appeal.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) first showed its face to the CS2 community on May 23rd, 2017, upon the release of the Operation Hydra Case along with the Operation Hydra update. This bright skin was crafted by the very talented community designer "SHPR".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) skin was finally released to the CS2 community with the highly-anticipated Operation Hydra Case, which players could access and get this skin, hopefully. Being from the Operation Hydra Collection, this skin became quite desirable owing to a different design aside from the added feature of the StatTrak, which actually counts the number of kills one gets with the use of the weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire-Minimal Wear remains extremely popular among players of CS2 with 95% popularity. The high popularity of this skin owes to the amount sold every day and the premium price that it sells at the market, making it one of the highly demanded items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) is one of the other 255 rifle skins that exist in CS: GO. The skin has a classified rarity, which creates quite a highly wanted drop that has an approximate drop chance of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The Minimal Wear skin for the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire for CS2 is quite affordable, at a price of $32.76-$160.00, hence somewhat within many players' budgets. Secondly, the skin is present in many markets, thus easily accessible to buyers. Proof that the Hellfire skin is well adopted in the community is the 65.7K units present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire skin will have a float value in the range of 0.00 to 0.50, ensuring availability of the skin in all of its wear states. All Hellfire skin exteriors also have a StatTrak variant, so each skin has a StatTrak version that can show off kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment about the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars given over more than 6.8K votes on addskins.gg. It is also owned by some popular professional players like fallen, shox, and maniac, which bolsters its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire features a "Custom Paint Job" style, which allows a wide field of personalized looks in many colors. This skin is mostly a bright red tint, and the pattern indexes do not change the Hellfire finish whatsoever.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 120 (-42.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 244 (17.4%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players