M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred)

4.7 2279 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 6.65
+12.06%
Last month
$ 38.45
+165%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 46.39
-20.93%
In a quarter
$ 34.69
-40.87%
In half a year
$ 41.41
-29.42%
In a year
$ 74.08
+26.27%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
576 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
M4A4 | The Coalition inspecting M4A4 | The Coalition reloading M4A4 | The Coalition holding M4A4 | The Coalition pose-1 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-2 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 61.78
  • 24h price change: 6.11%
  • 7 days low: $ 55.13
  • 7 days high: $ 1 187
  • 7 days price change: 12.06%
  • 30 days low: $ 23.33
  • 30 days high: $ 1 187
  • 30 days price change: 165%
  • 90 days low: $ 14.19
  • 90 days high: $ 1 187
  • Year low: $ 11.03
  • Year high: $ 2 549
  • All time low: $ 7.31
  • All time high: $ 2 549
  • All time max offers: 1290
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 23
  • Sales for last 7 days: 111
  • Sales for last 30 days: 678
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1405
  • All time sales: 3693
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.3898
  • Volatility: 16.49%
  • Liquidity: 6.55%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 46.39
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.93%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 34.69
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -40.87%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 41.41
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -29.42%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 74.08
  • Price forecast change in a year: 26.27%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 15.71
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.71
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 24.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.4
53.47%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.51
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.33
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 63.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 40.04
171.62%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 56.94
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 15.71
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.71
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 13.96
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 13.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 14.16
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 14.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 18.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 18.12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 24.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.4
53.47%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.51
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 23.33
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 63.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 40.04
171.62%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 54.75
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 56.94
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 48.44
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 39.04
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
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Description

M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) A reliable and popular full-auto assault rifle available to Counter-Terrorists. Compared to the AK-47, this has better accuracy at the expense of a little damage. Its striking appearance sports a unique gold and black paint job with interlocking triangles and fashionably blue highlights, suggestive of a temporary alliance that may just make one question his loyalties.

History

History

M4A4 | The Coalition-Factory New, this skin was added to the CS2 case on September 21st, 2021, and fell under the highly awaited "Operation Riptide" update. The sleek and formidable weapon became popular among players due to its striking look along with a flawlessly finished design.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | The Coalition-Battle-Scarred is a skin that, for its rarity, cannot fall from container openings but comes from the 2021 Train Collection. Originating from highly meticulous design within the Train Collection, expertly talented artists work together to create this battle-worn skin for CS2 players, symbolizing that touch of grittiness felt in warfare.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A4 | The Coalition is one of the most popular skins in the CS2 universe, considering its astonishing rating of 95% among the community members. That, in turn, makes it one of the most sought-after in-game skins. Such a high percentage is based on its constant high daily sales and high price on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) is one of 255 different rifle skins that are available in CS2. Yet this skin falls under the Covert rarity category, which makes it ultra-rare, standing at only 0.64% estimated drop chance.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of M4A4 | The Coalition in CS2 ranges from 0.45-0.75, and this version of Battle-Scarred doesn't have any exquisite versions like StatTrak or Souvenir.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Much attention from the community was also drawn to the M4A4 | The Coalition Skin, Battle-Scarred, which received more than 2.1K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.7 of 5 stars. Its popularity is underlined by its ownership by a star player: s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

Exterior This Battle-Scarred M4A4 features a "Gunsmith" style, on top of which it wears the eye-catching The Coalition finish; the art of patina combined with custom paint techniques. With its striking yellow and gold color scheme, it gives that needed pop factor, and the pattern indexes don't affect its distinguishing finish of The Coalition.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 46.39 (-20.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 34.69 (-40.87%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 41.41 (-29.42%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 74.08 (26.27%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players