M4A4 | The Coalition (Field-Tested)

4.7 2190 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 103
+28.22%
Last month
$ 348
+290%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 319
-25.06%
In a quarter
$ 191
-55.13%
In half a year
$ 205
-51.84%
In a year
$ 448
+5.24%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
235 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | The Coalition (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A4 | The Coalition inspecting M4A4 | The Coalition reloading M4A4 | The Coalition holding M4A4 | The Coalition pose-1 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-2 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 468
  • 24h price change: 20.0%
  • 7 days low: $ 365
  • 7 days high: $ 1 489
  • 7 days price change: 28.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 120
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504
  • 30 days price change: 290%
  • 90 days low: $ 50.2
  • 90 days high: $ 1 508
  • Year low: $ 20.3
  • Year high: $ 4 977
  • All time low: $ 20.24
  • All time high: $ 4 977
  • All time max offers: 848
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 43
  • Sales for last 7 days: 151
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1372
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2045
  • All time sales: 4676
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -1.2
  • Volatility: 20.97%
  • Liquidity: 4.2%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 319
  • Price forecast change in a month: -25.06%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 191
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -55.13%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 205
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -51.84%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 448
  • Price forecast change in a year: 5.24%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 40.44
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 40.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 40.91
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 50.59
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.68
23.66%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 50.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 50.57
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 58.75
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.18
16.18%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 105
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 115
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 305
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 190
165.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 40.44
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 39
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 40.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 40.91
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 43.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 50.59
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.68
23.66%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 50.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 50.57
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 58.75
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.18
16.18%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 105
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 125
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 115
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 305
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 190
165.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 389
Action
📉 Sell
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 208
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 206
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last month
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From last month
449 offers on 10 markets
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From last month
374 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
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From last month
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4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

M4A4 | The Coalition-Field-Tested is a reliable and accurate assault rifle used by Counter-Terrorists. It has better accuracy, but slightly less damage compared to the AK-47. Its striking looks boast an enthralling custom gold and black paint job with interlocking triangles with stylish blue highlights that can make even the most loyal gamer go into second thoughts.

History

History

The M4A4 | The Coalition first showed up on September 21st, 2021, in the announcement of the CS2 "Operation Riptide" update. Due to the highly hyped skin with its sleek, minutely detailed design, it gained lots of attention from fans and made the demand for this weapon very high among players.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | The Coalition is one of the battle-scars obtained from CS2, and it cannot be acquired through normal means such as container or case openings. It only belongs to the 2021 Train Collection and is valued highly due to that reason.

Popularity

Popularity

It has the popularity rating of 95%, which is pretty high in CS2. The M4A4 | The Coalition never stops being in great demand and thus stays rather pricey, always sold in high volume due to its catching design and rarity. That contributes to it being one of the most popular items among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | The Coalition belongs to the pool of 255 other Rifle skins, making it one of the most highly in-demand cosmetic items in CS2. This skin has been classified under Covert, or in other words, it is a super rare drop with an estimated chance of acquiring it at about 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | The Coalition is available in Field-Tested condition. In this condition, the skin will have float values that range from 0.15 to 0.37 and will show a slight wear with minimal scratches. There are currently no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | The Coalition has gained wide popularity among users. The skin got 4.7 out of 5 stars with over 2.1K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by the fact that it is owned by the great professional CS2 player s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | The Coalition Field-Tested for CS2 employs a "Gunsmith" style; a combination of patina with custom paint techniques. The skin has a unique yellow-gold coloration combined with an eye-catching pattern. Pattern indexes do nothing to change the stunning appearance of The Coalition.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 319 (-25.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 191 (-55.13%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 205 (-51.84%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 448 (5.24%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players