M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn)

4.7 2179 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 24.32
+27.12%
Last month
$ 77.34
+211%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 82.33
-15.96%
In a quarter
$ 51.1
-47.84%
In half a year
$ 56.17
-42.66%
In a year
$ 109
+11.27%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
378 offers on 10 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | The Coalition inspecting M4A4 | The Coalition reloading M4A4 | The Coalition holding M4A4 | The Coalition pose-1 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-2 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 114
  • 24h price change: 16.37%
  • 7 days low: $ 89.68
  • 7 days high: $ 974
  • 7 days price change: 27.12%
  • 30 days low: $ 36.66
  • 30 days high: $ 1 058
  • 30 days price change: 211%
  • 90 days low: $ 16.16
  • 90 days high: $ 1 058
  • Year low: $ 11.07
  • Year high: $ 5 000
  • All time low: $ 9.28
  • All time high: $ 5 000
  • All time max offers: 830
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 38
  • Sales for last 7 days: 195
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1198
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1812
  • All time sales: 4257
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -1.66
  • Volatility: 15.21%
  • Liquidity: 5.49%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 82.33
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.96%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 51.1
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -47.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 56.17
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -42.66%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 109
  • Price forecast change in a year: 11.27%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 28.67
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 12.67
79.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 33.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.39
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 51.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 18.13
54.30%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 14.5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 17.24
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 16.34
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 16.65
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.82
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 18.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 28.67
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 12.67
79.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 34.74
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 36.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 33.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.39
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 36.67
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 51.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 18.13
54.30%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 69
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 89.41
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 99
Action
📉 Sell
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 30.8
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 49.39
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
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$ 288
182%
From last month
459 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
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$ 500
100%
From last month
252 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
449 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
374 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
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Well-Worn
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188%
From last month
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$ 1 040
165%
From last month
400 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
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$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4929 offers on 11 markets

Description

M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) "A sure choice for Counter-Terrorists, and a favorite of the FBI's Hostage Rescue Team. Trading a bit of the AK47's higher damage for better accuracy, and a smarter integral compensator promotes movement." This gold and black paint job, struck through with interlocking triangles and subtle blue highlights, forms a temporary alliance which may change your mind about which weapon you're really loyal to.

History

History

The M4A4 | The Coalition first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, as one of the new weapon skins during the highly anticipated release of "Operation Riptide". Since then, it has grown into one of the nicer-looking skins among players-really showing the wear and tear of battle and adding a touch of realism to the virtual battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | The Coalition-Well-Worn is a rare skin, and one cannot get it through container openings, but owning it is a part of the limited edition 2021 Train Collection. Therefore, this makes it highly scarce and one of the most sought-after skins in the CS2 community. With this unique wear pattern, this skin truly epitomizes the battle-hardened nature of soldiers who have fought shoulder to shoulder, showing the unity and strength of The Coalition.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, The M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) happens to be one of the most popular skins out there. It has been rated at 95% in terms of popularity, making it one of the sought-after items in CS2. This is characterized by the daily sales volume and price that it commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | The Coalition(Well-Worn) is one of the 255 other Rifle skins existing in CS2. Since this skin is Covert, it is ultra-rare, and the possibility of it dropping is only 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) in CS: GO: 0.38 - 0.45. This skin is pretty worn out and has quite visible scratches and wear around the body. Unfortunately, there is no StatTrak or Souvenir variant of this skin, meaning that it cannot be customized.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The well-worn skin M4A4 | The Coalition has gained immense popularity in the community, having more than 2.1K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. The popularity of the skin is shown by the fact that it was owned by the very well-known professional CS2 player s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This battle-worn M4A4 sports a "Gunsmith" skin masterfully mixing patina with custom paint applications for the distinctive The Coalition finish. Riotous yellows and golds give it an air of opulence, but the pattern indexes do little to detract from the overall visual splendor of this skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 82.33 (-15.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 51.1 (-47.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 56.17 (-42.66%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 109 (11.27%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players