M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear)

4.7 2161 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 96
+12.85%
Last month
$ 528
+168%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 631
-22.91%
In a quarter
$ 435
-46.86%
In half a year
$ 519
-36.59%
In a year
$ 1 213
+48.19%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
297 offers on 10 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
57 offers
from $ 843
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 850
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
110 offers
from $ 875
White.Market
White.Market
10 offers
from $ 918
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
7 offers
from $ 947
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
77 offers
from $ 960
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 1 031
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 089
Steam
Steam
16 offers
from $ 1 160
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
13 offers
from $ 1 600
Inspect skin
M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | The Coalition inspecting M4A4 | The Coalition reloading M4A4 | The Coalition holding M4A4 | The Coalition pose-1 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-2 M4A4 | The Coalition pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 843
  • 24h price change: 7.8%
  • 7 days low: $ 747
  • 7 days high: $ 2 500
  • 7 days price change: 12.85%
  • 30 days low: $ 315
  • 30 days high: $ 3 443
  • 30 days price change: 168%
  • 90 days low: $ 111
  • 90 days high: $ 3 443
  • Year low: $ 51.51
  • Year high: $ 14 326
  • All time low: $ 51.51
  • All time high: $ 14 326
  • All time max offers: 598
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 68
  • Sales for last 30 days: 584
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1097
  • All time sales: 2550
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1121
  • Volatility: 15.88%
  • Liquidity: 7.22%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 631
  • Price forecast change in a month: -22.91%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 435
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -46.86%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 519
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -36.59%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 213
  • Price forecast change in a year: 48.19%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 123
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 123
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 79.25
64.26%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 238
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 374
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 329
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 738
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 673
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 123
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 123
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 79.25
64.26%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 238
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 374
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 329
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 382
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 476
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 738
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 673
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 756
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 79.25
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 123
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
981 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
459 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
252 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
449 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
374 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
400 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4929 offers on 11 markets

Description

M4A4 | The Coalition The Minimal Wear skin makes this a very reliable choice for the Counter-Terrorists, who will enjoy the better accuracy without sacrificing too much in the way of firepower. But it's that gold-and-black beauty, adorned with interlocking triangles and stylish blue highlights, which make this temporary alliance seem all the more worthwhile.

History

History

Exactly one year ago, on September 21st, 2021, the M4A4 | The Coalition entered the world of CS2 as a fresh addition to its armament. This really beautiful firearm was first shown to the community in the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, stirring up a storm of interest among players.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | The Coalition-minimal wear is a rare drop that came out of the already defunct 2021 Train Collection, which makes it highly exclusive to find for players. Moreover, this skin is so highly valued and rare because it cannot be found in container openings, adding prestige to those who manage to own it.

Popularity

Popularity

The popularity of M4A4 | The Coalition-Minimal Wear is very high and amounts to 95%, placing this skin among the most sought-after items in this game. Its popularity is determined depending on the high volume of sales per day and its high premium price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | The Coalition-Minimal Wear, one skin out of 255 other rifle skins in CS2. This skin has an extremely rare Covert rarity grade and an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A4 | The Coalition Minimal Wear ranges between 0.07 and 0.15, meaning that the skin will look almost as good as new but showing just a little bit of wear. There are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions available of this skin, really limiting its further collectability.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | The Coalition has an extremely positive community sentiment, with nearly a huge number of votes on addskins.gg, resulting in a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by being owned by the renowned professional CS2 player s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear M4A4 features a "Gunsmith" style, with the breathtaking finish of The Coalition. The combination of patina with custom paint styles creates an impressive yellow and gold color scheme while pattern indexes do nothing to detract from the stunning appearance that The Coalition provides.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 631 (-22.91%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 435 (-46.86%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 519 (-36.59%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 213 (48.19%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players